Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.048396 1.185717 1.335382 1.510795 1.710986 1.932604 2.196915
2026-02-08 0.812114 0.993097 1.207274 1.480210 1.819909 2.230243 2.765693
2026-02-15 0.696337 0.898285 1.151186 1.492745 1.944455 2.524762 3.332230
2026-02-22 0.608540 0.819471 1.095945 1.487364 2.031321 2.766447 3.845236
2026-03-01 0.536987 0.750037 1.040369 1.468383 2.089199 2.965905 4.313685
2026-03-08 0.469999 0.677660 0.970407 1.417550 2.090989 3.079697 4.663813
2026-03-15 0.427378 0.634519 0.935824 1.411424 2.153298 3.282836 5.164387
2026-03-22 0.409300 0.625006 0.948367 1.475260 2.325599 3.666989 5.988204
2026-03-29 0.377546 0.591112 0.919975 1.471284 2.388635 3.882718 6.558934
2026-04-05 0.355453 0.569960 0.908861 1.492709 2.493219 4.173852 7.286791
2026-04-12 0.327543 0.536718 0.875009 1.472511 2.524411 4.342269 7.815205
2026-04-19 0.303010 0.506794 0.843733 1.453091 2.553771 4.508243 8.354653
2026-04-26 0.275762 0.472089 0.804977 1.423507 2.574137 4.682081 8.975227
2026-05-03 0.251017 0.439849 0.768205 1.395118 2.596490 4.868030 9.658489
2026-05-10 0.235303 0.421883 0.754502 1.406879 2.694505 5.207100 10.694371
2026-05-17 0.218946 0.401061 0.733371 1.401828 2.758400 5.485621 11.642622
2026-05-24 0.202676 0.378799 0.707291 1.384007 2.793952 5.709803 12.504252
2026-05-31 0.184475 0.351172 0.668374 1.336279 2.761963 5.788370 13.050260
2026-06-07 0.172930 0.335417 0.650994 1.330526 2.817539 6.060188 14.080472
2026-06-14 0.169441 0.335271 0.664449 1.390464 3.022171 6.684950 16.046405
2026-06-21 0.159689 0.321543 0.649038 1.386731 3.084186 6.993517 17.280556
2026-06-28 0.153013 0.313567 0.644757 1.406845 3.202787 7.448174 18.956717
2026-07-05 0.143350 0.298463 0.624058 1.387883 3.227376 7.680240 20.084046